: Equidad Social y Parlamentarismo. Balance de treinta anos ( Spanish Edition) () by Ricardo Becerra and a great selection of. Equidad social y parlamentarismo: balance de treinta años. Responsibility: por Federico Novelo [et al.] ; coordinador, Ricardo Becerra. Edition: 1. ed. Read Equidad Social y Parlamentarismo. Balance de treinta anos book reviews & author details and more at Free delivery on qualified orders.
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Even so, we must not forget that the economic and social performance of Mexico in these past years is an example of the historical experience of a drastic institutional change that did not parlamentariismo its promised outcome. Moreover, it did not allow the structures and potentialities that a country needs to remain a democratic nation-state to develop in the midst of a profound shift towards internationalization. To a historian or a tango dancer, twenty years might seem like nothing.
And they would have their reasons. However, the past two decades, or rather three, constitute a significant social and economic g period for us and demarcate an era of historical development that has yet to come to a close: Antonio Gazol was right to warn us about the analytical error and, I would add, political danger of reducing NAFTA to the source of all our misfortunes or, on the contrary, their panacea, the sort of quantum leap into modernity and prosperity that its proponents promised and, in some cases, still insist on.
As he proposed in an excellent text, “On the ‘Faults’ of NAFTA,” published in the “El Correo del Sur” supplement of La Jornada de Morelosthe agreement should be viewed as part of an “economic policy derived from a concept of society and the economy known as neoliberalism” Gazol, This doctrinaire approach, which became the universal political and ideological formula that distinguished this age, and of whose implications we warned far in advance Cordera and Tello,was adopted before the administration of President Carlos Salinas de Gortari gave the agreement a starring role in its strategy for structural change and, of course, before it was signed in We should not forget that even before the agreement, institutional changes of undeniable depth and scope were implemented, such as the reforms made to Article 27 of the Constitution and the re-privatization of the banking system, which was nationalized innot to mention changes to oil and electrical power parlamentariamo, the frenzied sale of public companies and tireless preaching parpamentarismo the magic of the market as a synonym for modernity, etc.
Eocial essay aims to paramentarismo the dynamic relationship between the path larlamentarismo structural change proposed by the Salinas de Gortari administration and NAFTA. It will then study the economic outcomes and political challenges that par,amentarismo, with a focus on the social vulnerability and poverty that have emerged.
Finally, this work will analyze the agreement and internationalization, as well as the broad consequences of the agreement for power configurations.
NAFTA soon became the hallmark of the structural change strategy undertaken years before it entered into force, as well as one of the instruments par excellence to support the vast agitprop operation deployed by the government in its insistence on not only building a path to growth that diverged from the previous path, but also a hegemony that could effectively take over for, and more than a few would say displace, the strategy inherited from the Mexican Revolution in its stage of State-directed industrial development.
As such, the agreement cannot be evaluated in isolation, except, perhaps, for an initial analytic approach. Nor can we ignore the grand intentions outlined in its preamble, which Gazol specifically referenced in his essay. By way of a quick and brief summary, we could say that the export success achieved in the period beginning with the signing of the agreement is in sharp contrast with the low degree of national integration these same exports managed and, in general, the overall national productive structure.
It could thus be said that we have not yet overcome this strict dependence on the economic growth rate with respect to import capacity and, in any event, the recurring external payment crises that characterized the industrialist era and led to the crisis have been avoided or mitigated principally due to a sustained decrease in this growth over time, bringing the country to “stabilizing stagnation,” the prevailing historical path in recent years.
The same could be said of the notable increase in foreign direct investment FDI in the early years of the agreement: In addition, little of this investment has been allocated for technology transfers or to drive innovation. Moreover, as Gazol ascertains, the agreement does not explicitly acknowledge the “evident asymmetry between the parties… nor does it envisage any mechanism to reduce it or, at the very least, to not increase it.
Instead, what has occurred is marked productive disintegration in Mexico and hastily assembled regional integration with no clear course or direction. The agreement also implies express renouncement of using public sector purchases as an instrument to promote growth and diversify industrialization, as the very process of development would require. As we know, another item was relinquished as well, as FDI would not be tied to performance goals in the realm of productive integration or technology transfers.
Little to no attention has been paid to the widely accepted fact that the state’s capacity to orient and regulate external flows, in our case attracted by the growth of the North American market, has proved fundamental in other strategies of external openness that aim to achieve internal development, as demonstrated by China and Korea.
In that sense, as Federico Novelo has repeatedly indicated, the agreement expressly introduced such limitations.
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However, this odd way of assuming these limitations did not originate, at least not directly, from either the “best practices” of free or managed trade, or from the very theorems that supposedly or really inspired them.
Essentially, these limits have derived from the conviction, or the “reconversion,” if you will, of the ruling elite of pwrlamentarismo State and business that the institutional change encompassed in NAFTA should reflect, while also contributing to the reproduction of, a profound cultural, ideological and political change although with regards to the last, the authoritarian dogma of the post-revolutionary State was missing until the end.
Then-Secretary of Planning and Budget, Ernesto Zedillo, summarized this in a clear condemnation of industrial policy. This disapproval was made popular by his colleague in the cabinet, Dr. Jaime Serra Puche inwith the saying, “the best industrial policy is no industrial policy. Undoubtedly, structural change did come about, and with that, profound institutional shifts, both constitutional parlamentariso otherwise.
The ways in which people thought about and did business, engaged in consumption and made saving and investing decisions also evolved significantly.
In addition, the economy had to progressively acquire a different political format, moving farther away from the model used to impose structural change and pushing the country towards foreign relations ever more distant from those of the Mexican age of industrialism. As such, criteria for sovereignty were explicitly assumed to be central components of decisions made by the national State and later on, sovereignty came to be seen and understood, in the best of cases, as a variable that depended on the market, competitiveness and globalization.
Now, the political realm brings together and reproduces undeniable political plurality, although its productivity in terms of governance or social welfare has been questioned time and again.
The way or ways in which the new political system has, with little fanfare, adjusted to the evaluation criteria and broad range of development options and alternatives offered by the agreement and its interpretations both within and outside of the country, are powerful indicators, although perhaps not measurable, of how institutional change has penetrated the power structure.
Although perhaps imperceptible, the power structure had already showed signs of change since the s, in the same way in which this change was received by society and the political figures to whom, in the words of Rafael Segovia, representative democracy was “granted.
To date, democratic policy has been deployed with notable discipline in the framework of the explicit and implicit restrictions contained in the agreement, but especially in the economic strategy adopted at the height of the s crisis.
In this sense, in the context of economic policy, despite the aforementioned plurality, a peculiar “sense of belonging” of the political powers imbued the parameters and restrictions that the economic shift at the end of the century brought with it.
Trade Openness in Mexico. The results of the processes described above, along with others outside the scope of this essay, have strongly impacted the profile of this age and will undeniably continue to condition the present and all of its possibilities. Exports have increased ten-fold with a shift towards more manufactures and less oil. Imports have also grown rapidly. Regions in the center north of Mexico and on the border with the United States saw logarithmic population growth and experienced rapid industrialization, especially based on the maquiladora industry.
On the other hand, gross domestic product GDP growth fell and was lower than the 30 years prior.
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Between andthe economy grew 6. Between andthis rate was 2. The choice to lower public investment made in as part of external adjustments was maintained throughout the entire time period, with no compensation or replacement for the private Mexican and foreign investment that was expected thanks to the structural changes and NAFTA.
Import Growth Source: Growth and Characterization of Exports, Source: GDP Growth, Source: Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Source: The oft-heralded “demographic bonus,” where youth and young adults dominate the population pyramid and dynamics, has been diluted with informal employment, emigration to the North and youth unemployment, which frequently leads young people down a crueler path than an informal job: The dissonance between the demographics and the economy, always present as a probability and commonly expressed in imbalances in employment and the overall labor market, has led to an open and bellicose divorce between an economy that has effectively been transformed, and demographics that have also been transformed, but whose transformations have not brought about the chance for employment, education and health, which this biological shift so needs.
We have become accustomed to social vulnerability. Poverty now ails practically half of the population, and is hardly affected by the programs supposedly meant to overcome it. A culture of social apathy now prevails, which accepts wealth and income concentration and stagnation, not to mention deteriorating standards of living and welfare for the majority of the population, as facts of life. Demographic Bonus in Mexico, Source: Multidimensional Poverty Source: Between andthe labor force increased by 10 million people, but only 3 million obtained formal jobs, while 4.
As a society of workers, whose relationships and dreams almost entirely depend on the market and money, Mexico has still not managed to create conditions for overall improvement within these parameters. Employed Population by Income Level, Source: The above figure depicts slow and “mediocre” growth, which, as has been said, is evidence of a lethal divorce with the other fundamental and grand change of the era: Specifically, employment behaved as follows in the first decade of the twenty-first century.
El salario mínimo como productor de pobreza en México (in Spanish)
Both these results and Mexico’s social and economic performance over these “30 painful” years are a clear example of the historical experience of parlamentarisml drastic institutional change slcial did not bear the promised fruit.
Nor has it brought about the structures and support the country needs to remain a nation State in the midst of globalization. In fact, it could now be said that the minimum technical and institutional conditions required so that the new round of structural reforms produces positive social and economic outcomes have not been clearly established, nor have they been solidly supported by political and social mechanisms and relations able to gather and direct the power these reforms will supposedly unleash.
The “reform of all reforms” that was proclaimed as the inflection point to embark on a new journey after the lost decade of the s did not come about and in its place, the country seems to, rather precipitously and thoughtlessly, have opted for a path of successive reforms of “n” generations, which by their very nature cannot ensure the rise of new accumulation patterns on which any aspiration to recover the historical trajectory lost in the last decade of the twentieth century would have to be based.
These years have not seen development because growth has been insufficient and social and income redistribution were left out of the strategy and policies, but these topics were also ignored by social sockal and demands. The “Great Mexican Transformation,” in the words of Polanyiled to relative historical stagnation rather than jumpstarting the economy and reinforcing social cohesion as the result of democracy and community welfare.
Symbolic and cultural creations, together with the new power configurations that the plurality and globalization of our new political economy has adopted, are here and now.
They have determined our perspectives and the design of options and alternatives to follow a path different than the one reviewed. For better or worse, the agreement has given all that it had to give, as Gazol wrote, but the thousands of kilometers of the border are still there, as is the intense and, not so infrequently tense, relationship with the United States. As such, some questions to ask ourselves in our current circumstances might include the following.
Is this relationship governed by inertia? Where is it going? Or, will it not be governed at all?
The governing elite may have answers to address this situation from an economic, political and social perspective to reverse the “Great Transformation. The future of effective integration expressly sought with the objective of a common North American market, for example, cannot be separated from the challenges looming ahead in the issue of the Mexican social situation, which equidaad extremely affected by the current United States crisis Cordera, Moreover, in the midst of the widespread turmoil that has come with the Great Recession, Mexico, Canada and the United States are exploring other means of commercial and financial integration, which turns the current parlaamentarismo of globalization into a parlamentariismo panorama in qeuidad the role of integrationist viewpoints, such as those that would accompany a more or less oarlamentarismo projection of the current NAFTA, are still unclear.
Besides discussing whether more or less of the agreement is better, what Mexico urgently needs is a new development track, one that would allow us to internalize the earnings of foreign trade that came with liberalization and the partial, but effective, extension of “associated capitalism” launched in the s, for the energy, maquiladora and automobile industries. The challenge lies in nationalizing globalization to manage its “trilemmas,” as Rodrik has called them.
Sociial the essential importance of sovereignty and democracy. In a nutshell, we would have to admit to committing a sin of omission on two fundamental aspects:. For a developing country, exports are not the end in and of themselves, but rather they should serve to increase import capacity. These imports will only be of service to development if they are part of a national industrialization project.
Finally, as Romano Prodi would say: We must review our mental and economic habits with regards to global integration, equidav at the end of the century with activism and audacity, but with profound strategic reflection.
We must conceive of creative ways to ensure that equality coexists with democracy, as the guiding light towards new structural changes and the process of integrating Mexico with the new globalized world in the wake of the crisis. It is time to think about the agenda to reverse the “Great Transformation” of the Mexican miracle. Now, more than ever, Polanyi’s thinking should inspire greater social justice and reverse austerity and stagnation in a world without growth, but a world yearning to put an equidadd to inequalities in democratic regimes.
Novelo, Federico”El contexto internacional”, in Ricardo Becerra coord. Tel 52 55 56 23 01 05 and 52 55 56 24 23 39, fax 52 55 56 23 00 97, www. Reservation of rights to exclusive use of the title: Person responsible for the latest update of this issue: August 29 th The opinions expressed by authors do not necessarily reflect those of the editor of the publication. Permission to reproduce all or part of the published texts is granted provided the source is cited in full including the web address.
The online journal Problemas del Desarrollo.